Stable U.S. stocks amid inflation news this week, Metals continue to the upside, U.S. dollar weakens, Bitcoin stabilises below 70K USD

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Previous Trading Day’s Events (08.04.2024)

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Winners vs Losers

Metals are again on the top of the winner’s list for the week. Silver leads with 2.62% and Gold follows with 1.58%. The dollar weakened yesterday helping gold to reach higher again.

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News Reports MonitorPrevious Trading Day (08.04.2024)

Server Time / Timezone EEST (UTC+03:00)

  1. Midnight – Night Session (Asian)

No important announcements, no special scheduled figures to be released.

  1. Morning – Day Session (European and N. American Session)

No important announcements, no special scheduled figures to be released.

General Verdict:

  • Monday mood. Absence of special major figure releases but volatility levels were moderate in the FX market. The dollar index saw more volatility as the market was getting closer to the start of the N.American session.
  • Gold moved higher overall after a volatile trading session.
  • Crude oil opened yesterday with a gap to the downside but recovered eventually closing almost flat.
  • U.S. indices saw sideways and less volatile paths, around the intraday mean than usual.
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    FOREX MARKETS MONITOR

    EURUSD (08.04.2024) 15m Chart Summary

    Server Time / Timezone EEST (UTC+03:00)

    Price Movement

    The pair experienced moderate volatility early during the Asian session but the path remained sideways and volatility lowered as the European session started. After the triangle breakout, the pair moved rapidly to the upside as the USD was depreciating. It found resistance near 1.08590 before a short retracement and continued with a sideways movement leaning more to the upside and close to the highs of the day.

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    CRYPTO  MARKETS MONITOR

    BTCUSD (Bitcoin) Chart Summary 1H

    Server Time / Timezone EEST (UTC+02:00)

    Price Movement

    As mentioned in our previous analysis the price of bitcoin was forming an upward wedge that eventually broke to the upside. This caused the price to jump to 72,700 USD resistance level. After that, the price eventually reversed to the downside. It seems that this drop is quite aggressive as it crosses the 30-period MA and stays below it giving a strong signal that the uptrend has stopped and a potential sideways movement or even downward trend is formed soon.

    Crypto sorted by Highest Market Cap:

    Despite some positive moves recently, the market returns to the downside today, however, gains are still positive for the last 24 hours.

    Source: https://www.investing.com/crypto/currencies

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    EQUITY MARKETS MONITOR

    S&P500 (SPX500) 4-Day Chart Summary

    Server Time / Timezone EEST (UTC+03:00)

    Price Movement

    On the 4th of April, the index continued upwards but at some point after 19:00 it experienced a rapid drop. Retracement was quite probable that it would take place as mentioned in our previous analysis. It did not happen immediately but was only completed after the NFP report took place on the 5th of April. The index moved back to the upside crossing the 30-period MA on its way up and eventually remaining close to the MA until the end of the trading day. On the 8th of April, the market saw a sideways movement with volatility levels to be extremely low. This shows that market participants are expecting the inflation report, released on the 10th of April, in order to react greatly.

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    COMMODITIES MARKETS MONITOR

    USOIL (WTI) 4-Day Chart Summary

    Server Time / Timezone EEST (UTC+02:00)

    Price Movement

    On the 8th of April, the market opened with a gap to the downside and the price tested the support near 84 USD/b before eventually retracing to the intraday mean. This was a huge reversal from the upside causing the price to get below the MA. It might be an indication of an uptrend halt and the start of a new short-term movement to the downside. Middle East tensions eased after Israel withdrew more soldiers from southern Gaza and committed to fresh talks on a potential ceasefire in the six-month conflict.

    Source: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/oil-prices-lost-ground-mideast-geopolitical-tension-eases-2024-04-07/

    The level 84.15 USD/b serves as an important support while the 87 USD/b serves as resistance. Volatility levels are lowered and a triangle formation is apparent. Breakout to either direction would potentially lead to a rapid movement to either the mentioned support or resistance level.

    XAUUSD (Gold) 4-Day Chart Summary

    Server Time / Timezone EEST (UTC+03:00)

    Price Movement

    The win-win Gold continues to help bulls perform. After the NFP, it moved significantly higher, the USD depreciation helped, however. While the technical was suggesting an uptrend halt with the price moving below the 30-period MA, it continued with another uptrend, deviating significantly from the MA to the upside. Gold currently remains above the 30-period MA and is on another uptrend amid the U.S. inflation reports taking place this week. 2,350 serves currently as an important resistance level.

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    News Reports Monitor – Today Trading Day (09 April 2024)

    Server Time / Timezone EEST (UTC+03:00)

    1. Midnight – Night Session (Asian)

    No important announcements, no special scheduled figures to be released.

    1. Morning – Day Session (European and N. American Session)

    No important announcements, no special scheduled figures to be released.

    General Verdict:

  • Absence of important figure releases. The market is preparing for the U.S. inflation data tomorrow.
  • Gold is breaking highs and moves to the upside.
  • Crude oil is in the intraday range.
  • U.S. indices are testing the intraday support levels currently. 
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