Amazon’s 4th Quarter 2023 – Earnings Preview

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Introduction

As we approach the most significant day of the Earnings Season  all eyes are on Amazon, one of the tech giants that has consistently delivered impressive financial results. With a track record of surpassing earnings expectations, Amazon’s Q4 2023 earnings is generating significant anticipation among investors and analysts.

In this article, we will provide a comprehensive update on what to expect from Amazon’s 4th Quarter 2023 earnings , highlighting key factors contributing to the company’s performance and addressing potential concerns.

Key Points

Earnings Performance: Amazon has been on a winning streak, consistently outperforming market expectations. Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with an average earnings surprise of 54.9%. This remarkable consistency has fueled optimism about the Q4 2023 results.

Holiday and Retail Momentum: One of the driving forces behind Amazon’s success in the fourth quarter is its solid holiday performance. The company’s holiday initiatives, including record-breaking sales on Black Friday and Cyber Monday, have set a strong foundation for robust top-line growth. Amazon’s expanding distribution network and Prime-enabled fast delivery services have also played a crucial role in enhancing its online retail business. The company’s worldwide e-commerce business, along with the growing global presence of Prime, is expected to contribute significantly to the quarter’s results. Additionally, Amazon’s physical presence, including Amazon Fresh grocery stores, Whole Foods stores, and Amazon Go outlets, has witnessed growing momentum, further boosting sales

Third-Party Sellers and Streaming Services: Amazon’s relationships with third-party sellers have remained strong, with sales generated by third-party sellers expected to show a growth of 14.1% compared to the previous year. In the streaming services sector, Prime Video and Amazon Music have gained solid momentum. Expanding original content and content portfolios on Prime Video have accelerated Prime engagement, while Amazon Music’s growth is expected to reflect positively in the company’s Q4 resultS.

Amazon Web Services (AWS): Amazon’s expanding AWS portfolio is expected to be a significant contributor to the company’s Q4 performance. AWS introduced various services, including a palm-based identity and an AI-powered chatbot named Amazon Q. New capabilities in AWS Supply Chain and the introduction of next-generation chip families are expected to boost AWS revenues.

Smart Devices and Potential Concerns: Amazon’s smart devices, including the Fire products family, Echo smart speakers, Blink doorbells, and eero products, continue to perform well. Strengthening features of the Alexa virtual assistant are enhancing the user experience. However, it’s important to note that Amazon faces challenges in the form of inflationary pressure, geopolitical tensions, and foreign currency headwinds. These factors could impact the company’s performance in the coming quarters.

Earnings Per Share (EPS) Overview

One of the key metrics that investors closely monitor during an earnings season is Earnings Per Share (EPS). It provides a clear picture of a company’s profitability by indicating the portion of profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock.

  1. Historical EPS Performance:
  • It’s worth noting that while Amazon has consistently outperformed earnings expectations in recent quarters, it does not conclusively predict an earnings beat this time. Amazon’s Earnings ESP is currently at -0.04%, and it holds a Zacks Rank #2. Nevertheless, the combination of factors driving Amazon’s growth suggests a strong performance for the fourth quarter.
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    2. Analyst Projections for 2024:
  • One of the most significant highlights is the expected Earnings Per Share (EPS) for the fourth quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Amazon’s EPS in Q4 2023 is a remarkable 81 cents per share. This projection signifies a substantial increase from the 21 cents reported in the same quarter in 2022, showcasing Amazon’s remarkable growth in profitability.
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    Technical Data : Weekly Chart

    The chart from AMAZON seems to breakout above Key Level $155.33, which could signify a push to higher levels and suggest a positive Trajectory for the company. Next important resistance levels to watch which might be considered potential Targets are levels $165.25 & $187.98, the next key  FIB Levels.

    Earning Release Details

    Investors and analysts are looking forward to the earnings call on Thursday, February 1, 2024, at  22:30 GMT, where Amazon will discuss its Q4 2023 financial results in detail.

    For more in-depth information and insights, you can access the full presentation document here:

    https://ir.aboutamazon.com/news-release/news-release-details/2024/Amazon.com-to-Webcast-Fourth-Quarter-2023-Financial-Results-Conference-Call/default.aspx

    Conclusion
    While Amazon’s Q4 2023 earnings season is highly anticipated, it’s essential to keep an eye on various factors that could influence the company’s performance. Amazon’s consistent track record of exceeding expectations and its strategic positioning across various sectors make it a stock to watch.

    Source: Zacks.com | ir.aboutamazon.com | yahoo.finance.com

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